By Ofira Seliktar
With the Iranian revolution as her point of interest, Seliktar bargains a scientific research of predictive failure in overseas coverage on the paradigmatic, coverage, and intelligence degrees. Seliktar first examines how social technological know-how paradigms make certain conceptualizations of political swap, after which applies that evaluation to knowing New Internationalism, the Carter administration's international coverage philosophy on the time of the Shah's fall from energy. dependent partially on labeled files seized in the course of the takeover of the yank embassy, Failing the Crystal Ball Test is a beneficial addition to center japanese reports, diplomacy, and comparative politics collections.
Seliktar engages in a basic dialogue of the issues entailed in safely assessing the political legitimacy of overseas regimes, and describes the origins of recent Internationalism as prompted via the hot Left dependency theories. reading President Carter's program of latest Internationalism to Iran, Seliktar provides an account first of political affects at the predictive approach in the course of the early phases of revolution, after which of the administration's misreading of the possibility of a fundamentalist regime in Teheran.
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Failing the Crystal Ball Test: The Carter Administration and the Fundamentalist Revolution in Iran by Ofira Seliktar